5GW Theory Timeline

Among other things, this blog post contemplates the changing world and whether pre-5GW styles of fighting will quickly grow cost-ineffective:

The present question is whether we are approaching a time when the costs of pre-5GW types of wars will far outweigh any potential benefits. If so, pre-5GW wars will not disappear — because madmen, idiots, and egomaniacs don’t always do a cost analysis before initiating violent conflicts! — but perhaps democratic nations (at least) have more checks on such madmen, and advances in technology and knowledge in general would unearth the net loss which high-tech pre-5GW wars promise.

For instance, wars over the control of natural resources might offer a good payback, but not if infrastructure is too destroyed to make use of those natural resources!

[Note: the blog Phatic Communion is now defunct; link leads to version preserved on the Wayback Machine.]

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