Recent Entries in Blog Post
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The Terminology of XGW
Responding to recent discussion concerning the distinguishing factors that might be made between William Lind's Generations of Modern Warfare theory (GMW) and its successor theory, xGW, Dan Abbott suggests an abandonment of the use of the term "generation" for "G",...
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Orientation and Action, Part II: The OODA-PISRR Loop
Dan Abbott utilizes John Boyd's OODA LOOP and PISRR (Penetrate-Isolate-Subvert-Reorient-Reharmonize) to suggest an OODA-PISRR Social Loop which will shed light on the generations of modern warfare by showing that each succeeding generation of warfare is less kinetically intense than the...
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The Importance of 5GW
Excerpt:While America cannot win a 4GW, she can win a 5GW -- a war of hidden movements. America won the Cold War because, in spite of losing popular support for the struggle against Communism, she created institutions that kept the...
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Describing the Military-Industrial-Sysadmin-Complex: How We Will Win the 5GW to Shrink the Gap
Dan Abbott postulates a "Military-Industrial-Sysadmin-Complex," or MISC, as a potential state-centric 5GW force structure that could be developed by the U.S. in order to win "the long war" against America's current enemies.Linking MISC to Thomas P. M. Barnett's PNM theory,...
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Of the People, By The People: The Strategic Citizen 5GW Style
In his third blog post in a series exploring different archetypes or styles of 5GW operations, PurpleSlog gives a lengthy list of characteristics of The Strategic Citizen 5GW Style.In general, The Strategic Citizen style of 5GW will resemble "open-source conspiracies": ...
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Architects of the Future: The Socio-Political Entrepreneurship Style of 5GW
In the second blog post of a series of blog posts exploring potential archetypes, or styles, of 5GW, PurpleSlog suggests a "Socio-Political Entrepreneurship" style of 5GW.Unlike the first archetype explored in the series ("The Puppet Master"), the Socio-Political Entrepreneurs will...
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Possible 5GW Archetype: The Puppet Master 5GW
The first in a series of blog posts written by PurpleSlog and outlining different general archetypes, or styles, of 5GW, this entry in the series focuses upon a "Puppet Master" style of 5GW operations.The archetype will resemble the classic fictional...
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Shrinkwrapped on Conspiracy Theories
PurpleSlog looks at blog posts written by blogger Shrinkwrapped on the subject of the psychology of conspiracy theory and concludes, "Nonsense contaminates and warps the observational ability of an actor. A 5GWer can make use of that."...
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5GW Will Hide in the Sea of Conspiracy Theories to Avoid Discovery
PurpleSlog suggests the 5GW potential of utilizing conspiracy theory in order to either hide the 5GW operation or at the very least to reduce interest in the possibility of the existence of that 5GW operation, as a strategy for maintaining...
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5GW Thought: Would a Goal of a 5GW Organization Be To Reduce the Resiliency of the Target State?
PurpleSlog utilizes a blog post from Mark Safranski's blog ZenPundit, in which Safranski proposes State Resilience as the best defense against 4GW, to contemplate one method by which 5GW organizations could co-opt 4GW forces. Excerpt: Assuming ZenPundit's thoughts are correct...
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5GW Revolutions
Mark Safranski utilizes a consideration of anti-state 5GW goals suggested by Myke Cole at Small Wars Journal, in "Comic Book Warning: An Unlikely Insight into Warfare's 5th Generation", to draw a potential response to 5GW by states beset by internal...
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The Super Empowered Individual
Although not specifically referencing 5GW within the main body of the blog post, Mark Safranski outlines various concepts of "The Super Empowered Individual" while examining both the potential effects of the existence of SEIs and potential countermeasures or strategies for...
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Nonkinetic "War" is called "Politics"
After referencing a discussion that occurred at John Robb's Weblog, Dan Abbott draws a line between war and politics, suggesting that the two ideas or types of conflict should remain separate to avoid confusion. Also, the suggestion is made that...
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The XGW Framework: Classification and Creation of Doctrines for Conflict and Confrontation
Arherring, on the blog Dreaming 5GW (and cross-posted to Red Herrings), first notes the distinction between GMW (Generations of Modern Warfare) and xGW; second, outlines five broad subject areas which must be considered for an understanding of the xGW model:Premise...
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Pre-Modern Wars on a Pre-Modern Continent
Dan of the blog tdaxp highlights a blog post written by Steve Pampinella in which the question is asked whether the African wars should be considered 4GW-style wars.Dan answers that, no, "The African wars tend not to be state-centered, but...
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Against William Lind, Against John Robb, in favor of 5GW
Dan of the blog tdaxp, contributor to the blog Dreaming 5GW, suggests two problems with the way 5GW theory has been approached, singling out William Lind and John Robb as examples.In the first case, "worthless academic philosophy" may swamp the...
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The Generations of War without the Jargon
Dan of the blog tdaxp gives a summary of the Generations of Modern Warfare model, in simple, plain English....
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XGW: Left of Boom - Right of Boom
Arherring explores the relationship of xGW theory to the idea of "Boom" (kinetic action), using the following diagram to map out the generations:...
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XGW as a System for the Classification of Doctrines
Arherring outlines the xGW framework following discussions elsewhere concerning the differences between GMW (Generations of Modern Warfare) and xGW (Gradient Warfare) models....
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X vs X: Boom and the Generations in Conflict
A post which looks at each generation in relationship to "Boom" or the operative kinetics occurring in each generational style of conflict.Additionally, each generation is compared to the generation before it and the generation after it, in order to show...
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5GWhat? The Meaning of “Warfare” in 2008
Through several stages, the blog author examines whether fifth generation warfare can be called "warfare." Is blogging warfare? The author mentions the DoD concept of information operations, answering affirmatively. Is activism warfare? The author alludes to the White House at...
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5GW as the Event Horizon
Dan tdaxp links to a comment under a blog post at Skilluminati Research in which the commenter ponders the way fifth generation warfare will be a blending of warfare with "everything else": I agree 100% that 5GW is an event...
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5GW And Beyond
Building off a thought published by John Robb on his personal weblog, that the destructive technologically superempowered fighter defines fifth-generation warfare, Shlok offers his reasons why this will be so while offering a glimpse at "6GW" and "7GW": Technological Singularity...
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Can Georgia become a MicroPower?
The idea is that small states can protect themselves if they are willing to use economic systems disruption as a strategic weapon. Said systems disruption, and the Global Guerrilla dynamic, are called fifth-generation warfare. Scenarios involving the Ukraine, Georgia, and...
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Micropowers and the Art of 5GW
A blog post considering how "micropowers" might utilize 5GW to conduct warfare in the future.The post begins with a look at a discussion on the blogs Coming Anarchy and Global Guerrillas, concerning the issue of micropowers and how Georgia (the...
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5GW is Closed Source (and Global Guerillas Theory is Incoherent)
An attack on John Robb's concept of Global Guerrillas, particularly Robb's linking of Global Guerrillas to 5GW theory. Dan tdaxp resonds, 5GW is not open source. 5GW is closed source. Primarily, secrecy -- which will be important for fifth generation...
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War in the next generation
A consideration of the "next generation of analysts and collectors which must confront these challenges" arising with the advent of 5GW.The view is circumspect as the author contemplates previous contemplation inspired by various others writing about fifth generation warfare: Much...
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The unbearable lightness of the bench
A UK legal case involving the prosecution of terrorist activities is used as an example of the failure of the legal system to operate in a 4GW/5GW environment. This however underscores even more clearly the abject failure of the legal...
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Observing the Maturing World
(Originally published at the now-defunct blog Phatic Communion.)A mapping of the xGW framework onto John Boyd's OODA theory utilizing a Revised OODA developed by Curtis Gale Weeks. Part 3 of a 3-part series on the OODA, following "Rethinking the OODA"...
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5GW and Ruleset Automation
A consideration of ideas found in Thomas P. M. Barnett's post, "The sandwich generations-of-war strategy" (although not actually linking it). Development-in-a-Box is part of the work of Enterra Solutions, Barnett's (and Steve DeAngelis's employer) -- a firm that focuses on...
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A Strategic Dagwood
An exploration ideas from Thomas P. M. Barnett's post "The sandwich generations-of-war strategy", with agreement than the U.S Leviathan helps to keep Old Core and New Core powers from re-inaugurating the era of great 3GW war between powers; i.e., that...
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The sandwich generations-of-war strategy
"[W]orking off my SysAdmin force/Department of Everything Else concepts," and off a comment left by RevG, Thomas Barnett discusses the importance of the 3GW Leviathan.The advent of nuclear weapons failed to achieve a new generation of war, although it did...
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Lots of discussion of what 5GW is
It's clear we are in a phase transition from classic 4GW guerrilla warfare to something worse. That something worse is: "the super-empowered individual that can use the technologies of self-replication to collapse/kill on a grand scale" -- which John Robb...
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Barnett and Robb
A consideration of John Robb's and Thomas P. M. Barnett's recent explorations of fifth generation warfare. On Thomas Barnett's 5GW speculation: "Not very secret, is it?" -- It would inspire domestic and foreign opposition; this is a nod to the...
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A thousand flowers will bloom on 5GW, and countless more weeds
Responding to John Robb's accusation that he is attempting "to refashion global guerrillas as his big idea", Thomas P. M. Barnett affirms that he did not "employ" 5GW in his books but thought that his own published ideas correlate with...
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Totally unreal
John Robb believes Thomas P. M. Barnett "is trying to refashion global guerrillas as his big idea" after the latter has discussed PNM and BFA as his own type of 5GW....
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My own personal 5GW dream
Thomas P. M. Barnett lays out his own personal 5GW dream, building from a post that appeared at Dreaming 5GW:I was going to post there, on Weeks' site, but then I started to feel proprietary about it, meaning I was...
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Dreaming 5GW: In Surround Sound
Original inaugural post of the blog Dreaming 5GW. (Others, earlier web posts, were eventually imported from the defunct site Phatic Communion.)An initial consideration of secrecy leads into a broad outline of how fifth generation warfare may play out, building upon...
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THE CHANGING FACE OF WAR: Into the 5th Generation (5GW)
Citing William Lind's "The Changing Face War: Into the Fourth Generation", John Robb expands the xGW framework from Lind's stopping point and into a consideration of fifth generation warfare. Much of this new generation was derived and accelerated in cauldron...
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Initiating 5GW
(Originally posted at the now defunct blog Phatic Communion.)Building upon conversations on the blogs tdaxp and Coming Anarchy, CGW expands upon a comment he left on Coming Anarchy by considering how in fact 5GW forces will operate in a "nuts...
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Truly formless 5GW
A consideration of two blog posts on tdaxp, followed by an alternative speculation of what will constitute fifth-generation warfare. Emergent communities, or emergent networks, may be examples of 5GW organization, particularly since these groups may form around an idea or...
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5GW: Soundless + Formless + Polished + Leading
I won't say that between Sun Tzu, Musashi, and tdaxp, you shall learn everything you need to about 5GW.... But add VNV Nation's Matter + Form, and you probably will. Soundless, formless, polished, leading: These are attributes of a 5GW...
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Revisiting 5th Generation War
Mark Safranski references Thomas P.M. Barnett's thoughts on "system perturbation" and "cascading effects" when contemplating Bryce Lane's article "On 'Fifth Generation' Warfare?" while agreeing with Lane that geography no longer serves to define "the Logospheric state of 5GW conflict."A consideration...
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Fifth Generation Warfare: 4GW No Longer Applies
Mr. Langbert seems to envision 5GW as the evolution of nationalistic 4GW (Mao, Ho Chi Min) to that of the purely ideologically driven (al Qaeda, the Arab Mujahadeen) 4GW (or, in Langbert's view, 5GW.) In essence the absence of jingoism...
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Personal Equals Political
"The Chimeras", a poem by W. H. Auden, is related to 5GW.Speculation of a label given to the effort to either pre-empt a 5GW attack or defend against one: "The War on Confusion."The label is drawn from the present taxonomy...
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SecretWar (5GW)
Dan tdaxp responds to a blog post published on Phatic Communion and further embellishes the idea that fifth generation war is "Secret War." Points made: Economy of force improves with each succeeding generation of warfare; so 5GW targeting a society...
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Limitations of 5GW
(Originally appeared on the defunct blog Phatic Communion, republished at the blog Dreaming 5GW.)A blog post that considers fifth generation war waged against whole societies: what features should be considered? Would small 5GW forces be able to defeat a large...
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5GW Reloaded: Reflecting on 5th Generation War Concepts
A link fest linking to many more items than can be displayed below.Mark Safranski ponders two ideas introduced by Dan tdaxp of the blog tdaxp: that 5GW will target an enemy's intellectual strength, and that secrecy will be key in...
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5th Generation Thumbnail Sketches
A guest post at the blog tdaxp which examines two points recently offered by two other bloggers -- that 5GW is a war on the enemy's "intellectual strength" that 5GW will go "deeper" into a target's society -- and combines...
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SecretWar: Plain Jane Tries to Kill the Yakuza Boss
The metaphor of a "Plain Jain" who tries to kill a Yakuza Boss is utilized to argue that "randomness is very attractive" and would severely reduce the secrecy of a 5GW operation:For a woman crossing the dance floor, tripping is...
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5GW Effectors
(Originally appeared on the defunct blog Phatic Communion, republished at Dreaming 5GW.)A post dissecting what kind of activity the 5GWarrior would utilize. Specifically, a consideration of "rhythm" and "randomness" leads to a questioning of the secrecy aspect assumed to exist...
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SecretWarriors Walk Without Rhythm, Won't Attract the Worm
This post uses John Boyd's OODA loop to stress the importance of secrecy in fifth generation warfare efforts:In SecretWar, or 5GW, the fighter tries to hurt without being hurt -- at all. If the world knows the SecretWarrior exists, she...
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Emerging NetWar / SecretWar Tactic: Stealth Shareholder Activism
A look at how shareholder activism may be one method by which a 5GW organization can operate secretly (although said activism may also be used for 4GW) which concludes with two points: Major Benefit of Shareholder Activism for 5GW: SecretWarrior...
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Dreaming 5th Generation War
A follow-up to an earlier post which extends consideration of the "deeper" aspects of fifth generation warfare as it relates to John Boyd's OODA Loop.A reiteration of earlier points argued -- "5th Generation of War would focus on [the enemy's]...
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Blog Notice
Among other things, this blog post contemplates the changing world and whether pre-5GW styles of fighting will quickly grow cost-ineffective:The present question is whether we are approaching a time when the costs of pre-5GW types of wars will far outweigh...
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Fifth Generation War in the OODA Loop
Mark Safranski reponds to Dan tdaxp's conceptualization of the "deeper" aspects of each succeeding generation of warfare vis-a-vis John Boyd's OODA Loop.Whereas Mark Safranski had earlier conceived of a shift in battlespace deeper into enemy territory, he now concedes that...
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Orientation and Action, Part I: The OODA Loop
Building off a post written by Mark Safranski of ZenPundit -- "successive generations of warfare tend to drive 'deeper' into enemy territory" -- Dan tdaxp utilizes Boyd's OODA loop to show how the fifth generation of warfare "goes deeper" into...
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Found on Wikipedia: “The Dulles Plan”
An alleged secret plan to overthrow the Soviet government through ideological manipulation. Does it relate to 5GW? (Summary by subadei)...
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Unto the Fifth Generation of War
Early and detailed consideration of aspects which might constitute fifth generation warfare, beginning with concepts of 4GW and building from there. Key trends mentioned: Superempowerment Fluidity Multidimensional Battlespace Autonomous Surrogates Key technologies and sciences mentioned: Artificial Intelligence Genomics Alternative Fuels...
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Boot on Unrestricted War
A look at the book Unrestricted Warfare which also references the blog tdaxp and links the blog Coming Anarchy which had recently noted discussion of 5GW theory at tdaxp and the blog ZenPundit.[Note: the blog Phatic Communion is now defunct;...
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5GW
Early note of discussions of 5GW theory which links to the blogs ZenPundit and tdaxp, including excerpts from those....